{"id":1483,"date":"2025-12-28T00:34:05","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T17:34:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/gia-inox-bien-dong-vi-dau-niken-ty-gia-va-cung-cau-giai-ma\/"},"modified":"2025-12-28T00:34:05","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T17:34:05","slug":"gia-inox-bien-dong-vi-dau-niken-ty-gia-va-cung-cau-giai-ma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/gia-inox-bien-dong-vi-dau-niken-ty-gia-va-cung-cau-giai-ma\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 Inox bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2u? Niken, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 cung\u2013c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"custom-toc\">\n<h3>N\u1ed9i dung ch\u00ednh<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-0-niken-dong-co-gia-cua-cac-mac-austenitic-304316\">Niken: \u201c\u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1\u201d gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u00e1c austenitic (304\/316)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-1-ty-gia-usdvnd-cau-noi-tu-gia-quoc-te-sang-gia-noi-\">T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND: c\u1ea7u n\u1ed1i t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf sang gi\u00e1 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-2-cungcau-nhip-chu-ky-toan-cau-va-ton-kho-khu-vuc\">Cung\u2013c\u1ea7u: nh\u1ecbp chu k\u1ef3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho khu v\u1ef1c<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-3-do-nhay-gia-theo-mac-va-cach-ap-dung-vao-bao-gia-t\">\u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y gi\u00e1 theo m\u00e1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-4-vi-du-tinh-nhanh-gia-muc-tieu-minh-hoa\">V\u00ed d\u1ee5 t\u00ednh nhanh gi\u00e1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau (minh h\u1ecda)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-5-ba-chien-luoc-mua-hang-khi-thi-truong-bien-dong\">Ba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua h\u00e0ng khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-6-cau-hoi-thuong-gap\">C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-7-cac-nguon-du-lieu-khuyen-nghi-theo-doi\">C\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb theo d\u00f5i<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#toc-8-ket-luan\">K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>Trong m\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh mua Inox quy m\u00f4 doanh nghi\u1ec7p, ba bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 chi ph\u1ed1i gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0: gi\u00e1 Niken th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND v\u00e0 tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i cung\u2013c\u1ea7u. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111i th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0o c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1, c\u00e1ch \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh nhanh \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y gi\u00e1 theo m\u00e1c th\u00e9p (201\/304\/316\/430), v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf d\u00e0nh cho k\u1ef9 s\u01b0, nh\u00e0 th\u1ea7u, x\u01b0\u1edfng c\u01a1 kh\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-0-niken-dong-co-gia-cua-cac-mac-austenitic-304316\">Niken: \u201c\u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1\u201d gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u00e1c austenitic (304\/316)<\/h2>\n<p>&#8211; Vai tr\u00f2 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt: Niken \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac austenitic, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ebbo, ch\u1ed1ng \u0103n m\u00f2n. V\u00ec v\u1eady, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chi ph\u00ed h\u1ee3p kim c\u1ee7a 304\/316 g\u1eafn v\u1edbi Niken.<br \/>\n&#8211; Th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh:<br \/>\n  &#8211; SUS 304: Ni ~8.0\u201310.5%<br \/>\n  &#8211; SUS 316: Ni ~10\u201314% (c\u1ed9ng th\u00eam Mo ~2\u20133%, Mo c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1)<br \/>\n  &#8211; SUS 201: Ni th\u1ea5p (~3.5\u20135.5%), thay b\u1eb1ng Mn\/Cr<br \/>\n  &#8211; SUS 430 (ferritic): g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 Ni<\/p>\n<p>C\u01a1 ch\u1ebf h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u00e1:<br \/>\n&#8211; Gi\u00e1 Ni qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (tham chi\u1ebfu LME Nickel) + ph\u1ee5 ph\u00ed h\u1ee3p kim (alloy surcharge) + chi ph\u00ed n\u1ea5u luy\u1ec7n\/c\u00e1n + logistic => gi\u00e1 cu\u1ed9n\/\u1ed1ng Inox b\u1eb1ng USD.<br \/>\n&#8211; Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u cu\u1ed9n c\u00e1n ngu\u1ed9i\/c\u00e1n n\u00f3ng t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Indonesia, \u0110\u00e0i Loan, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c\u2026 n\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Ni \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cchuy\u1ec1n\u201d kh\u00e1 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o b\u00e1o gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Quy t\u1eafc \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh nhanh \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y gi\u00e1 theo Niken:<br \/>\n&#8211; N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 Ni t\u0103ng\/gi\u1ea3m 1.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n, chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a 1 t\u1ea5n Inox thay \u0111\u1ed5i x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9:<br \/>\n  &#8211; 304 (Ni ~8.5%): \u00b185 USD\/t\u1ea5n \u2248 \u00b10,085 USD\/kg<br \/>\n  &#8211; 316 (Ni ~12%): \u00b1120 USD\/t\u1ea5n \u2248 \u00b10,12 USD\/kg<br \/>\n  &#8211; 201 (Ni ~4%): \u00b140 USD\/t\u1ea5n \u2248 \u00b10,04 USD\/kg<br \/>\n  &#8211; 430 (Ni ~0%): g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 0 USD\/t\u1ea5n (nh\u1ea1y v\u1edbi Cr\/Fe, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 Ni)<br \/>\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5 quy \u0111\u1ed5i sang VND: v\u1edbi USD\/VND = 25.000, 304 s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng \u00b12.125 VND\/kg khi Ni thay \u0111\u1ed5i 1.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n. Con s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n do t\u1ed3n kho c\u0169\/m\u1edbi, ph\u1ee5 ph\u00ed v\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i:<br \/>\n&#8211; Gi\u00e1 LME Nickel theo ng\u00e0y\/3 th\u00e1ng v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u1edbi SHFE Ni (Trung Qu\u1ed1c) \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng khu v\u1ef1c.<br \/>\n&#8211; S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng: v\u00ed d\u1ee5 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ef1c \u0111oan LME th\u00e1ng 3\/2022 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y chu\u1ed7i b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian. B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ed1t gi\u00e1\/kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng linh ho\u1ea1t, tr\u00e1nh d\u1ed3n \u0111\u01a1n khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<br \/>\nNgu\u1ed3n tham kh\u1ea3o: London Metal Exchange (lme.com), USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries \u2013 Nickel, International Stainless Steel Forum (worldstainless.org).<\/p>\n<h3>M\u00e1c 201 v\u00e0 430: v\u00ec sao \u201cb\u00ecnh y\u00ean\u201d h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng Ni?<\/h3>\n<p>&#8211; 201 d\u00f9ng \u00edt Ni, d\u00f9ng Mn nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y v\u1edbi Ni th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 304; nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1ea1y v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 Mn\/Cr v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u ng\u00e0nh gia d\u1ee5ng\/n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t.<br \/>\n&#8211; 430 (ferritic) kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ee9a Ni, gi\u00e1 ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n t\u1eeb Cr, qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 cung\u2013c\u1ea7u c\u00e1n ngu\u1ed9i ferritic. Do \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 suy gi\u00e1 430 t\u1eeb LME Ni.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-1-ty-gia-usdvnd-cau-noi-tu-gia-quoc-te-sang-gia-noi-\">T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND: c\u1ea7u n\u1ed1i t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf sang gi\u00e1 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba<\/h2>\n<p>H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u Inox ni\u00eam b\u1eb1ng USD (CIF\/CFR). T\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, khi quy \u0111\u1ed5i sang VND s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 VND:<br \/>\nGi\u00e1 VND\/kg \u2248 [(Gi\u00e1 USD\/t\u1ea5n + ph\u1ee5 ph\u00ed\/thu\u1ebf nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 + c\u01b0\u1edbc\/t\u00e1ch ki\u1ec7n)\/1000] \u00d7 T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u00d7 (1 + VAT) + logistics n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba.<\/p>\n<p>Quy t\u1eafc 1%:<br \/>\n&#8211; N\u1ebfu USD\/VND t\u0103ng 1%, gi\u00e1 Inox t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng VND t\u0103ng x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 1% (gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed gi\u00e1 USD kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i).<br \/>\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cu\u1ed9n 304 CRC gi\u00e1 2.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n. USD\/VND t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 24.800 l\u00ean 25.300 (+2%). Gi\u00e1 quy VND s\u1ebd t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 2% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n<p>G\u1ee3i \u00fd qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p:<br \/>\n&#8211; Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n thanh to\u00e1n: ch\u1ed1t gi\u00e1 USD s\u1edbm, ho\u1eb7c nh\u1eadn b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 VND \u0111\u00e3 \u201ccover\u201d t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.<br \/>\n&#8211; S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba: mua k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n USD v\u1edbi ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng l\u1edbn.<br \/>\n&#8211; T\u1ed1i \u01b0u l\u1ecbch thanh to\u00e1n theo ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1eadn h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m th\u1eddi gian \u201cph\u01a1i\u201d r\u1ee7i ro FX.<br \/>\nNgu\u1ed3n tham kh\u1ea3o: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Vi\u1ec7t Nam (t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m), c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, IMF\/World Bank d\u1eef li\u1ec7u FX.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-2-cungcau-nhip-chu-ky-toan-cau-va-ton-kho-khu-vuc\">Cung\u2013c\u1ea7u: nh\u1ecbp chu k\u1ef3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho khu v\u1ef1c<\/h2>\n<p>Ngu\u1ed3n cung:<br \/>\n&#8211; C\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t n\u1ea5u luy\u1ec7n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i Indonesia (chu\u1ed7i NPI\u2013STS t\u00edch h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Trung Qu\u1ed1c) l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n coil 300\/200-series trong khu v\u1ef1c ASEAN.<br \/>\n&#8211; Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u: l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u qu\u1eb7ng Ni c\u1ee7a Indonesia th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y luy\u1ec7n Ni trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u0103ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t th\u00e9p kh\u00f4ng g\u1ec9.<br \/>\n&#8211; L\u1ecbch b\u1ea3o d\u01b0\u1ee1ng nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y, gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 si\u1ebft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5:<br \/>\n&#8211; \u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng ch\u00ednh: thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb gia d\u1ee5ng, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng\u2013ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac, ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, h\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t\u2013d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed (316L), \u00f4 t\u00f4\u2013\u0111i\u1ec7n m\u00e1y.<br \/>\n&#8211; Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t; s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu\/kh\u1edfi s\u1eafc b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn d\u1eaft khu v\u1ef1c.<br \/>\n&#8211; T\u00ednh m\u00f9a v\u1ee5: Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1eadm sau T\u1ebft \u00c2m l\u1ecbch; t\u0103ng nh\u1ecbp l\u1eafp \u0111\u1eb7t, d\u1ef1 \u00e1n v\u00e0o qu\u00fd 3\u20134.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1:<br \/>\n&#8211; Khi t\u1ed3n kho t\u1ea1i Wuxi\/Foshan (TQ) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng ASEAN cao, nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y h\u00e0ng; ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, thi\u1ebfu coil CRC\/BA s\u1ebd k\u00e9o premium t\u0103ng nhanh ngay c\u1ea3 khi LME Ni \u0111i ngang.<br \/>\n&#8211; T\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t r\u00e0 so\u00e1t thu\u1ebf ch\u1ed1ng b\u00e1n ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u00e9p kh\u00f4ng g\u1ec9 c\u00e1n ngu\u1ed9i t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 xu\u1ea5t x\u1ee9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ngu\u1ed3n, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u00e1 gi\u1eefa h\u00e0ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00ean theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ef3:<br \/>\n&#8211; S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ea5u luy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho: International Stainless Steel Forum (worldstainless.org).<br \/>\n&#8211; Gi\u00e1 spot v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho Wuxi\/Foshan, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 SMM\/ Mysteel (Trung Qu\u1ed1c).<br \/>\n&#8211; PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Trung Qu\u1ed1c\/ASEAN, chi ph\u00ed c\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i (Drewry, Freightos).<br \/>\nNgu\u1ed3n tham kh\u1ea3o: ISSF, SMM, Mysteel, c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-3-do-nhay-gia-theo-mac-va-cach-ap-dung-vao-bao-gia-t\">\u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y gi\u00e1 theo m\u00e1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf<\/h2>\n<p>T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y ch\u00ednh:<br \/>\n&#8211; 316: nh\u1ea1y cao v\u1edbi Ni v\u00e0 Mo; ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb LME Ni v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 Mo (t\u1eeb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u\/US).<br \/>\n&#8211; 304: nh\u1ea1y cao v\u1edbi Ni; theo s\u00e1t LME Ni v\u00e0 premium khu v\u1ef1c.<br \/>\n&#8211; 201: nh\u1ea1y trung b\u00ecnh v\u1edbi Ni, th\u00eam Mn\/Cr; ch\u1ecbu c\u1ea7u gia d\u1ee5ng\u2013n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t.<br \/>\n&#8211; 430: h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea1y v\u1edbi Ni; theo Cr, qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 cung\u2013c\u1ea7u ferritic.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0a v\u00e0o b\u00e1o gi\u00e1:<br \/>\n&#8211; B\u01b0\u1edbc 1 \u2013 X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u00e1c, b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t (2B\/BA\/No.4), \u0111\u1ed9 d\u00e0y, ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n. \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y Ni t\u0103ng theo t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Ni trong th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n.<br \/>\n&#8211; B\u01b0\u1edbc 2 \u2013 \u01af\u1edbc t\u00ednh chi ph\u00ed h\u1ee3p kim: d\u00f9ng quy t\u1eafc 1.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n Ni nh\u01b0 tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 khung \u00b1VND\/kg.<br \/>\n&#8211; B\u01b0\u1edbc 3 \u2013 C\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1: m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng th\u00eam \u00b11\u20132% n\u1ebfu d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o USD\/VND bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<br \/>\n&#8211; B\u01b0\u1edbc 4 \u2013 Ki\u1ec3m tra cung\u2013c\u1ea7u: h\u1ecfi t\u1ed3n kho th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, th\u1eddi gian giao, premium\/chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y theo t\u1eebng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-4-vi-du-tinh-nhanh-gia-muc-tieu-minh-hoa\">V\u00ed d\u1ee5 t\u00ednh nhanh gi\u00e1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau (minh h\u1ecda)<\/h2>\n<p>Gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh:<br \/>\n&#8211; 304 CRC 2B, gi\u00e1 tham chi\u1ebfu: 2.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n.<br \/>\n&#8211; LME Ni t\u0103ng 1.500 USD\/t\u1ea5n trong th\u00e1ng.<br \/>\n&#8211; T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1: 25.000 VND\/USD, VAT 10%, ph\u00ed n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba 1.000.000 VND\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n<p>\u01af\u1edbc t\u00ednh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng:<br \/>\n&#8211; Do Ni: 304 nh\u1ea1y ~8.5% \u2192 +127,5 USD\/t\u1ea5n (\u2248 +3.187.500 VND\/t\u1ea5n).<br \/>\n&#8211; Quy VND ph\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 g\u1ed1c: 2.000 \u00d7 25.000 = 50.000.000 VND\/t\u1ea5n.<br \/>\n&#8211; C\u1ed9ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng Ni: \u2248 53.187.500 VND\/t\u1ea5n.<br \/>\n&#8211; C\u1ed9ng VAT 10%: \u2248 58.506.250 VND\/t\u1ea5n.<br \/>\n&#8211; C\u1ed9ng ph\u00ed n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba: \u2248 59.506.250 VND\/t\u1ea5n.<br \/>\nGhi ch\u00fa: Premium\/chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n giao c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m sai kh\u00e1c v\u00e0i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-5-ba-chien-luoc-mua-hang-khi-thi-truong-bien-dong\">Ba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua h\u00e0ng khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/h2>\n<p>&#8211; Chia l\u00f4 v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1t gi\u00e1 theo n\u1ea5c: kh\u00f4ng d\u1ed3n t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y; \u0111\u1eb7t 30\u201340\u201330% theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn Ni\/FX.<br \/>\n&#8211; S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh h\u1ee3p kim: v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u00e1n d\u00e0i, th\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u1ee5 l\u1ee5c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Ni \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn.<br \/>\n&#8211; Ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1: ch\u1ed1t forward USD cho ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd b\u00e1n b\u1eb1ng VND; \u01b0u ti\u00ean b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 VND c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh khi kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 hedge.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-6-cau-hoi-thuong-gap\">C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/h2>\n<p>&#8211; V\u00ec sao gi\u00e1 304 t\u0103ng d\u00f9 LME Ni \u0111i ngang?<br \/>\n  &#8211; Premium khu v\u1ef1c t\u0103ng do thi\u1ebfu coil, c\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i t\u0103ng, ho\u1eb7c r\u00e0 so\u00e1t ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0m thi\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n.<br \/>\n&#8211; 201 c\u00f3 r\u1ebb h\u01a1n 304 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng?<br \/>\n  &#8211; Th\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ebb h\u01a1n do Ni th\u1ea5p, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu h\u1eb9p n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7u 201 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c Mn\/Cr t\u0103ng gi\u00e1.<br \/>\n&#8211; C\u00f3 n\u00ean ch\u1edd \u201c\u0111\u00e1y\u201d Ni m\u1edbi mua?<br \/>\n  &#8211; Kh\u00f3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y. V\u1edbi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t li\u00ean t\u1ee5c, n\u00ean chia l\u00f4 v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau thay v\u00ec ch\u1edd tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-7-cac-nguon-du-lieu-khuyen-nghi-theo-doi\">C\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb theo d\u00f5i<\/h2>\n<p>&#8211; LME Nickel: bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 Ni v\u00e0 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (lme.com).<br \/>\n&#8211; ISSF (worldstainless.org): b\u00e1o c\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng\/ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 inox to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng qu\u00fd.<br \/>\n&#8211; USGS: Mineral Commodity Summaries \u2013 Nickel, Chromium, Molybdenum.<br \/>\n&#8211; SMM\/Mysteel\/Wuxi spot: gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho inox Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nhanh cho ASEAN.<br \/>\n&#8211; Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Vi\u1ec7t Nam: t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m; ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i: b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 FX k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"toc-8-ket-luan\">K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/h2>\n<p>&#8211; Niken quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a 304\/316; t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND l\u00e0 \u201ckhu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i\u201d tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp sang gi\u00e1 VND; cung\u2013c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 premium khu v\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch ph\u1ea7n ch\u00eanh c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i.<br \/>\n&#8211; Quy t\u1eafc th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh: v\u1edbi 304, Ni \u00b11.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n \u2248 \u00b12.100\u20132.200 VND\/kg (t\u1ea1i USD\/VND ~25.000). T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y c\u1ed9ng g\u1ed9p v\u1edbi \u00b11% cho m\u1ed7i 1% bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.<br \/>\n&#8211; Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p mua kh\u00f4n ngoan: theo d\u00f5i LME Ni v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho khu v\u1ef1c, chia l\u00f4 ch\u1ed1t gi\u00e1, k\u00e8m c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1. <\/p>\n<p>C\u1ea7n b\u1ea3ng gi\u00e1 c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt theo m\u00e1c, b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 d\u00e0y? Li\u00ean h\u1ec7 Inox C\u01b0\u1eddng Th\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t. Hotline: 0343.417.281. Email: inoxcongnghiep.cuongthinh@gmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 Inox: t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Niken (LME), t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND v\u00e0 cung\u2013c\u1ea7u. K\u00e8m c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c t\u00ednh, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":1001,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1483","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1483"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1483\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/media\/1001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1483"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1483"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inoxcuongthinh.com\/inct\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1483"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}